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MLS-C01 Exam - Question 69


A large consumer goods manufacturer has the following products on sale:

* 34 different toothpaste variants

* 48 different toothbrush variants

* 43 different mouthwash variants

The entire sales history of all these products is available in Amazon S3. Currently, the company is using custom-built autoregressive integrated moving average

(ARIMA) models to forecast demand for these products. The company wants to predict the demand for a new product that will soon be launched.

Which solution should a Machine Learning Specialist apply?

Show Answer
Correct Answer: B

To forecast demand for the new product, using the Amazon SageMaker DeepAR algorithm is the most suitable solution. DeepAR is a supervised learning algorithm designed specifically for time series forecasting using recurrent neural networks (RNN). It excels in scenarios where there are multiple related time series, such as the different variants of toothpaste, toothbrushes, and mouthwash. This algorithm can utilize the entire sales history available in Amazon S3 to generate accurate forecasts, even for new products. Classical models like ARIMA may not perform as well with the large amount of diverse time series data due to their limitations in handling scalability and complexity.

Discussion

10 comments
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HaiHN
Oct 20, 2021

B https://docs.aws.amazon.com/sagemaker/latest/dg/deepar.html "...When your dataset contains hundreds of related time series, DeepAR outperforms the standard ARIMA and ETS methods. You can also use the trained model to generate forecasts for new time series that are similar to the ones it has been trained on."

ValcilioOption: B
Mar 8, 2023

DeepAr for new products forever!

hans1234
Oct 13, 2021

It is B

AjoseOOption: B
Feb 10, 2023

The DeepAR algorithm is a powerful time series forecasting algorithm that is designed to handle multiple time series data and can handle irregularly spaced time series data and missing values, making it a good fit for this task. Additionally, the large amount of sales history data available in Amazon S3 makes the use of a deep learning algorithm like DeepAR more appropriate.

ac427
Sep 24, 2021

This is the same question as Topic 2 Q4

Shailendraa
Aug 20, 2022

B https://docs.aws.amazon.com/sagemaker/latest/dg/deepar.html

Mickey321Option: B
Aug 28, 2023

Option B

loictOption: B
Sep 14, 2023

B - DeepAR is based on GluonTS, and can use multiple time series for learning

james2033Option: B
Mar 7, 2024

'autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA)' <--> DeepAR. https://docs.aws.amazon.com/sagemaker/latest/dg/deepar.html

ninomfr64Option: B
Jul 10, 2024

"You can also use the trained model to generate forecasts for new time series that are similar to the ones it has been trained on" https://docs.aws.amazon.com/sagemaker/latest/dg/deepar.html